Choose the option to view in the tabs above
Last Sunday, the Buenos Aires territory turned from light blue to purple. Of the 135 municipalities in the Province of Buenos Aires (PBA), the Alianza La Libertad Avanza (LLA) won in 99 and Homeland Force (FP) only in 36. That result in the election of national deputies was key to the victory of the Casa Rosada in the national summation.
In the provincial elections of September 7, the results had been exactly opposite: The front made up of Kirchnerism, Kicillofism and the Renovador Front had won in 100 municipalities for local legislative positions, while the alliance between LLA and the PRO in only 30.
In four other municipalities it had come out first Are – an electoral agreement of radicals, non-Kirchnerist sectors of Peronism, the Civic Coalition and the GEN -, and in Saint NicholasActs prevailed, the space of the brothers Manuel and Santiago Passagliacurrent communal chief and his predecessor.
In the total of PBA, according to the provisional count – the National Electoral Board of the district was finishing the final one at this time -, the libertarian ballot won last Sunday by half a point. He made a big splash by reversing 14 points that Fuerza Patria had taken from him in September. After an eventful campaign colored by the resignation scandal Jose Luis Espert, The libertarian alliance with the PRO obtained the 41.45% (3,605,127 votes) over Homeland Forcewho took out the 40.91% (3,558,527 votes). So, Of the 35 deputies elected by the Province, 17 will be from the LLA and 16 from FP.
With the list headed by Diego Santillicurrent PRO deputy, LLA added 881,417 votes in the province between September 7 and the election on October 26according to the provisional scrutiny. Homeland Forcewith the list headed by the current deputy Jorge Taiana, lost 261,592 supports. Although there were almost half a million new voters in Sunday’s election, the registry was smaller since foreigners residing in the Buenos Aires territory do not vote in national elections.
The interesting thing is the political turn that occurred in more than half of those 99 Buenos Aires districts where LLA won a week ago in the national legislative election.
In 64 of them, last September, Fuerza Patria had won in the elections for provincial deputies or senatorsaccording to the comparison carried out by Infobaebased on official data from the provisional scrutiny that reached 99% of the tables surveyed.
Currently, there are only 2 municipalities governed by mayors enrolled in the LLA: February 3rdled by Diego Valenzuelaa former PRO turned libertarian; and Captain Sarmientowhose communal leader is Fernanda Astorinowho also served in the yellow party.
However, the purple list was the most chosen option in the debut of the Single Paper Ballot in PBA for national positions. Of the 99 districts in which LLA won this October 26 for national deputies, 51 are governed by Peronismwhich shows that The PJ mayors did not play in this electionhaving their Deliberative Councils already secured.
Another 25 Buenos Aires parties where LLA was imposed have communal leaders from the UCR; 14 of the PRO; and 7 from neighborhood spaces.
Of the 64 municipalities that changed to purple on Sunday, 4 are in the Conurbano. Esteban Echeverría, Tigre, Morón and Saint Michael.
The mayor of Esteban Echeverría, Fernando Graywas a candidate for national deputy for another dissident list of Peronism, called Federal Unionand came third in his district. He could not access a seat in Congress.
In Tigre, the mayor Julio Zamora suffered an electoral defeat with the space that accompanied, United Provincewho was at the head of the list for deputies Florencio Randazzoand came in fifth place, far behind Fuerza Patria who came second.
Morón, whose mayor is Lucas Ghi, was the only one in the Western zone governed by Peronism that lost to the libertarian slate, which unleashed an internal conflict with Martin Sabatellahis predecessor and president of New Encountera party aligned with Christianity
In Saint Michaelmunicipality of the First Section led by Jaime Mendezwho competed on a short ballot for councilors in September with First Saint Michaellast Sunday La Libertad Avanza also won.
When analyzing what happened to the Peronist votes in the 64 municipalities in which Fuerza Patria had won on September 7 and last Sunday LLA won, In 15 of them, Peronism/Kirchnerism added votes, but very few: 17,199 in total. Instead, In 49 other municipalities, he lost 106,009 votes.
Of the 64 Buenos Aires parties where Fuerza Patria had won in the provincial elections and on Sunday LLA won, the purple list had consolidated itself as the second force in 51 of them, and as third in 13 municipalities, behind Are (except in the case of Suipachawhere the second force was Power). This means that It went from being the third force to being the first in just 50 days.
While that was happening, LLA increased its votes in those 64 Buenos Aires parties that changed their political color. The total profit was 323,813 votes. The largest increases between September and October occurred in Tigre (31,239 more votes), La Plata (30,958 additional votes) and San Miguel (26,641 more votes).
In 36 of the 135 Buenos Aires municipalities, Fuerza Patria remained the winning alliance in October, compared to September 7. But Only in 12 of them did it add votes last Sunday (28,232 in total)while In the remaining 24 he lost 233,645 votes.
In the 30 Buenos Aires districts where the purple ballot had won on September 7, LLA repeated the victory last Sunday. But Mileism not only did not lose any municipality of those conquered a month and a half ago, but in 29 of them it had a net gain of 167,555 votes. He only lost 2,519 supports in the Municipality of 3 de Febrero.
Where LLA added the most votes was in General Pueyrredón (34,600 more votes)whose mayor is Guillermo Montenegrofrom the PRO sector very alienated with the Casa Rosada. Montenegro had been a candidate for provincial senator for the Fifth Section in September. Secondly, it is located White Baywhere LLA added 17,474 votes between September 7 and October 26.
Finally, in 5 municipalities where they had won other games in September, on Sunday LLA also won. These are General Juan Madariaga, Roque Pérez, Saladillo and San Cayetano, who were in the hands of Somos in the provincial elections, and San Nicolás, where Hechos had triumphed.
The greater differences in absolute votes in favor of LLA in relation to Fuerza Patria were given in General Pueyrredon (64,242 votes), San Isidro (58.133), Vicente Lopez (46,670), White Bay (45,195), The Silver (20,717), Tandil (18.171), Tiger (17.333), Colonel Rosales (13,576), Esteban Echeverria (13,541) and Necochea (11,760 votes).
The Minor differences in favor of the Mileist list were recorded in Laprida, where he won by only one vote. According to the data from the provisional count, LLA obtained 2,793 votes against 2,792 for FP. In September, Peronism had won with 2,767 votes against 2,108 for LLA.
In Dapple LLA won only by 62 votes and in Mount Beautiful for 97.
The greater differences in favor of FP They took place in municipalities with a strong Peronist imprint, all of the Buenos Aires suburbs.: La Matanza, Lomas de Zamora, Moreno, Quilmes, General San Martín, Florencio Varela, Berazategui, Avellaneda, Almirante Brown and Ezeiza.
The smaller difference in favor of FP it was in Castelli: only 16 votes.
The September registry was 14,227,683 voters and includes foreign voters, with Argentine ID and domicile in PBA. Of that number, 8,677,319 people went to vote, so participation was 60.99% for the provincial election.
On October 26, the registration was lower: 13,216,225 voters, almost 1 million fewer registered because foreigners do not vote in national elections. And those who went to vote last Sunday totaled 9,013,159, which implied 335,840 more voters than last September.
Data processing and visualization: Daniela Czibener
