Party graphs …

Bryan · Thursday 18 September 2008 · 8:33 am

And today we have the graphs that compare the pollster’s predictions for each of the parties. The same house bias that has existed for some time appears evident in the latest graphs.

Labor's two party preferred vote share

Labor's primary vote share

The Coalition's primary vote share

The Green's primary vote share

The primary vote share for other parties

The ACNielsen set …

Bryan · Tuesday 16 September 2008 · 8:49 pm

Still more graphs; this time from the laboratories of ACNielsen. Unfortunately, ACNielsen only started their monthly polling cycle in May, and there are not enough data points for a 7 term (or even a 5 term) Henderson moving average. I plan to use the 7 term average once I have enough data points.

ACNielsen: Labor's two party preferred vote share

ACNielsen: Better Prime Minister

ACNielsen: Prime Minister's performance

ACNielsen: Opposition Leader's performance

ACNielsen: Net approval of the Prime Minister and the Opposition Leader

More graphs …

Bryan · Monday 15 September 2008 · 10:06 pm

Today’s graphs come from the house of Morgan. I have only captured the face to face polls in the following graphs. I will think about what I do with the irregular Morgan phone polls at another time.

Morgan’s Government Confidence Rating is a newish feature. It is calculated using the difference between the percentage of people who say the country is “going in the right direction” and the percentage who say the country is “going in seriously the wrong direction”, and then adding 100 to that difference.

Morgan: Labor's two party preferred vote share

Morgan: Who do you think will win the next Federal election

Morgan: Is Australia heading in the 'right' or 'wrong' direction?

Morgan: Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating

First of the new graphs …

Bryan · Sunday 14 September 2008 · 7:33 pm

I have started work on the graphs for the new Parliamentary term. What follows is a selection of the Newspoll graphs. To get away from the false hysteria of two points up one week and two points down the next; I have made the Henderson smoothed moving average the focus of the graphs.

Newspoll: Labor's two party preferred vote share

Newspoll: Better Prime Minister

Newspoll: Satisfaction with the Prime Minister

Newspoll: Satisfaction with the Opposition Leader

Newspoll: Net satisfaction with the Prime Minister and the Opposition Leader

Maintenance

Bryan · Saturday 13 September 2008 · 11:01 pm

The feeds page has been fixed. It was broken for quite some time. Sorry about that. If your site is still broken, use the contact page to let me know. If you use the BDP-RSS-Aggregator plugin, you can get the latest version here.

I have upgraded to Wordpress 2.6.2; let me know if this has broken anything.

I will be doing some further generally tidying up before returning from my blog holiday.