Oz Politics Blog

Apology: but I must be at work early this morning, so you will have to wait until this evening for a full report.

Conflicted polls: two polls out last night tell a very different story. Galaxy, has the Coalition in line for a two seat majority, despite losing the two-party preferred vote 52 to 48 in Labor’s favour. ACNielsen, predicts annihilation for Howard with a two-party preferred vote of 57 to 43 in Labor’s favour if preferences are allocated according to what people reported or 56 to 44 if votes are allocated using preference flows from 2004.

I have not updated the other graphs. You may need to hit the refresh or reload button on your browser to see the latest charts.

Yesterday, the Coalition released policies on transport in NSW, Vic, and Qld. And a late link from the day before for critical care at Darwin Hospital.

Labor had on its website new policies on making Darwin and Palmerston suburbs safer communities, Low Tax First Home Saver Accounts, Northern Australia and the Gascoyne Irrigation Pipeline Project. The following appears to be new on the site, but it is dated 4 Octovber: Manufacturing Centre In Northern Adelaide. (As an aside, the Labor policy site is getting very large and difficult to navigate - spotting new policy announcements is a challenge).

Senate tickets: The Australian Electoral Commission released the above-the-line Senate voting tickets yesterday. The Poll Bludger and friends are discussing the politics and policy that inform ticket development.

I am assuming that Antony Green has written a Senate Calculator. If he does not release one soon, I will dust off my calculator from the 2004 election. Update: Antony’s Senate calculators are up.

Galaxy: Today, the News stable released the latest poll results from 1010 voters over 2 - 4 November. The headline prediction was 54 to 46 per cent in Labor’s favour. On the primary votes, Labor got 45 per cent and the Coalition 42.

The usual opinion poll graphs are here. You may need to hit the refresh or reload button on your browser to see the latest graphs.

Paul Kelly discussed Howard’s tactical change in the campaign, in the lead up to this week’s decision by the Reserve Bank on interest rates.

The usual opinion poll graphs are here. You may need to hit the refresh or reload button on your browser to see the latest graphs.

The latest Galaxy poll is out.

It is the same old, same old. This poll is consistent with the other pollsters, and evidences no significant change on the previous Galaxy poll.

The usual opinion poll graphs are here. You may need to hit the refresh or reload button on your browser to see the latest graphs.

The usual opinion poll graphs are here. You may need to hit the refresh or reload button on your browser to see the latest graphs.