The recount for McEwen saw the result change from Labor ahead by six votes to the Coalition ahead by 12 votes (Herald Sun). The final allocation of preferences will not happen for another couple of days, so things could still change.
The overall result now looks like 83 seats for Labor, with 52.71 per cent of the two party preferred vote.
The ABC computer has the prediction back at 84 seats. That would be the 80 seats Labor has in the bank plus Flynn (ALP ahead by 268 votes), Robertson (182 votes), Solomon (196 votes) and McEwan (7 votes).
The Coalition is ahead in Bowman (94 votes), Dickson (221 votes),Herbert (352 votes), Swan (280 votes) and La Trobe (889 votes).
Only Bowman and McEwan remain on the ABC’s doubtful seat list.
Labor’s two-party preferred vote share is now at 52.86 per cent.
The ABC computer has the prediction back at 83 seats. That would be the 80 seats Labor has in the bank plus Flynn (ALP ahead by 430 votes), Robertson (258 votes) and Solomon (89 votes).
The Coalition is ahead in Bowman (119 votes), McEwan (194 votes), Dickson (225 votes), Herbert (293 votes), Swan (352 votes) and La Trobe (889 votes).
As the count has progressed, Labor’s two-party preferred vote share has continued to decline. It is now 52.84 per cent; well below the Hawke achievement of 53.23 in 1983. At the close of counting on election night it was 53.41.
Now that the election is over, I will be taking a blog holiday for some months.
Only expect the odd random post.
In addition to Labor’s 80 seats, Flynn and Robertson still look safely in Labor’s grip.
Labor has imporved its position Bowman, up from 166 votes yesterday to 155 today.
Solomon is now Labor ahead by 142 votes (down from 262 yesterday). Could still end up with the Coalition ahead.
McEwan is Coalition ahead by 142 votes. But the first lot of absentee votes have gone Labor’s way 61 to 39. This seat could still go Labor.
Herbert has gone from the Coalition ahead by 60 votes yeterday to the Coalition ahead by 139 today.
In Swan, the Coalition is ahead by 34 votes. Yesterday the Coalition was ahead by 239 votes. Tough call.
In Dickson, the Coalition is ahead by 188 votes. This seat is largely counted, so it should stay with the Coalition.
In La Trobe, the Coalition is ahead by 896 votes.
Synopsis: 80 plus Flynn, Robertson and Bowman is 83. Let’s assume Laboir gets one of Solomon and McEwan, we get Labor at 84 seats. And then there is a possibility in Swan. So this morning it is looking more like 85 seats, but in the range 84 to 86 seats.