Day 22 report
Newspoll: Today’s Australian contained the best Newspoll for the Coalition all year; 53 to 47 in Labor’s favour on a two-party preferred basis.
In trend terms, all of the pollsters are showing a narrowing of the gap between the parties on a two party preferred basis. With the exception of Morgan, the latest poll results are beginning to suggest a comfortable win for Labor, rather than the landslide win the polls were suggesting six or seven months ago. If the polls continue to narrow at the current rate over the remaining three weeks of the campaign, it could be a close election.
Applying the current trends to Antony Green’s election calculator we get the following seat projections for the House of Representatives.
| Latest Result (Labor TPP %) | Poll Trend (Labor TPP %) | Seats Predicted from Latest Result | Seats Predicted from Poll Trend | |
| ACNielsen | 55 | 54.3 | 92 | 91 |
| Galaxy | 54 | 53.8 | 87 | 87 |
| Morgan | 57.5 | 56.8 | 106 | 101 |
| Newspoll | 53 | 54.3 | 82 | 91 |
The usual opinion poll graphs are here. You may need to hit the refresh or reload button on your browser to see the latest graphs.
Yesterday, The Coalition released a policy statement on roads funding in South Australia.
Labor released policies on Indigenous education in the NT, men’s health, NT Health, a GP Super Clinic For The North Central Coast, economic development in Indigenous communities, scallop fishermen, Gippsland Lakes Communities, and the Ipswich Growth Corridor.