Poll trends
The Coalition may just be turning the corner. Regulars here will know that from March to July, the Coalition was trending towards a tight election finish in 2007. But August and early September saw almost half of the gains from the previous five months lost.
When I fed the latest data from this week’s Galaxy poll into my combined polling trend, two interesting things emerged. First, the Coalition’s primary vote is improving in trend terms. Second, the Coalition’s two-party preferred vote is no longer trending away from electoral competitiveness. (Note: you may need to hit the refresh or reload button on your browser to see the latest trend charts).
However, it remains a huge step from where the Coalition is now to where it would want to be when the election occurs.
The other trend graphs are here, and the monthly aggregations are here.