Election date speculation
While the betting market stills sees the possibility of a 27 October 2007 election, the last Saturday of November or the first Saturday of December are firming as the favourites.
| Date | Odds | Probability |
| October 27th | $4.00 | 16% |
| November 3rd | $7.50 | 8% |
| November 10th | $6.00 | 10% |
| November 17th | $4.50 | 14% |
| November 24th | $3.50 | 18% |
| December 1st | $3.75 | 17% |
| December 8th | $9.00 | 7% |
| December 15th | $11.00 | 6% |
| December 22nd | $81.00 | 1% |
| December 29th | $41.00 | 2% |
| Any Saturday during January or beyond | $31.00 | 2% |
I remain convinced that the 24 November to 8 December window is the most likely timing.
A 27 October 2007 election would need to be called by next Monday. I don’t think that will happen.