Westpoll: 54 to 46 in Labor’s favour
The latest Westpoll of 400 Western Australians predicted that Labor would win 54 per cent of the TPP vote in WA. Related coverage in the Age.
I am a little sceptical about the 8 point movement in this poll when compared with the previous few Westpolls. Those familiar with this site would know that I typically reject as noise any significant poll movement that can not be attributed to an event that one would reasonably expect to change voting intention. Even if I can point to a plausible explanatory variable, I usually suspend judgment on a single poll result that could mark a discontinuity.
To put it another way: don’t read too much into a single poll result.