Betting market update

Bryan · Sunday 22 July 2007 · 9:55 am

Over the past week there was a more significant move away from the government across the five bookmakers I am tracking than we have seen for a number of weeks.

Today the average probability for a Coalition win at the 2007 election is 44.3 per cent. Last Thursday it was 46.3, and Sunday one week ago it was 47.6 per cent.

Bookmaker Coalition Odds Labor Odds Probability of a Coalition Win
Centrebet $2.17 $1.71 44.3%
IASBet $2.15 $1.70 44.2%
SportingBet $2.05 $1.75 46.1%
SportsBet $2.20 $1.67 43.2%
SportsAcumen $2.17 $1.68 43.6%

Betting Market: Odds

Betting market probabilities

Betting market probabilities

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