Oz Politics Blog

Is it volatility and stochastic noise or a meaningful movement in the polls? I have no idea. But this week’s headline result is some of the best news the government has had all year from Morgan. It is still a landslide win for Labor, just not as big a landslide. The trend lines suggest that the Government is still in there with a whisker of a chance come a December election.

Graphs aside, I think I will sit this one out. Let’s see if the latest movement is confirmed by the subsequent Morgan face-to-face poll, as well as the other pollsters. I have said it many times before, the underlying trend is more important than single one-off movements.

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