Betting market update

Bryan · Sunday 15 July 2007 · 10:02 am

Since last Sunday, there has been a slight movement away from the government among the five bookmakers I am tracking. Three bookmakers have moved in Rudd’s direction just slightly. The other two were unchanged.

Today the average probability for a Coalition win at the 2007 election is 47.6 per cent. Last week it was 48.3 per cent.

Bookmaker Coalition Odds Labor Odds Probability of a Coalition Win
Centrebet $1.93 $1.83 48.7%
IASBet $2.00 $1.80 47.4%
SportingBet $1.95 $1.85 48.7%
SportsBet $2.05 $1.73 45.8%
SportsAcumen $1.98 $1.80 47.6%

Betting market probabilities

Betting market probabilities

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