Morgan telephone: 57.5 to 42.5 in Labor’s favour

Bryan · Friday 13 July 2007 · 7:46 pm

Another Morgan telephone poll. The headline prediction was 57.5 to 42.5 in Labor’s favour.

I really don’t know what to make of the recent Morgan telephone poll series. With a typical sample size on the small side of around 600, this series has expansive error bars; so much so that none of the movement since May (when Morgan began doing these polls with some regularity) has been statistically significant.

Other than confirming that Labor is well ahead, it is difficult to discern any meaningful trend data from this series.

TPP predictions

Of interest, Morgan notes the recent discussion on Possums Pollytics regarding Morgan and Newspoll and declares it is well worth reading.