Galaxy Bennelong poll: 52 to 48 in Labor’s favour
The Sunday Telegraph has reported a Galaxy poll of 800 voters in the Prime Minister’s seat of Bennelong. The poll was conducted in the two days after the Budget. According to the poll, Labor candidate Maxine McKew would win the seat. John Howard would become the second Prime Minister in Australia’s history to lose his seat at an election.
The predicted two-party preferred vote is 52 per cent for Labor and 48 per cent for the Coalition. The primary vote predictions were 44 per cent for the Coalition and 46 per cent for Labor.
This poll result represents a six per cent swing on the 2004 outcome. A uniform national 6 per cent swing would see Labor win around 53.3 per cent of the national TPP vote share, and Government with around 83 seats.