Bubble and squeak marginal seat polling
According to the Australian, polling in marginal seats between January and March 2007 points to a Labor victory.
Der! All of the polls over the period point to a Labor victory.
If — and it is a big if — Labor were to secure the 58 per cent national two-party preferred vote suggested by the polls at the next election, my election calculator says Labor would win around 111 of the 150 seats.
111 seats is landslide win in anybody’s book. But as Labor’s best ever record is 53.23 per cent, I would be very surprised if Labor polled over 55 per cent, which is still a landslide win with 92 seats. I think 53 per cent (82 seats) or 54 per cent (88 seats) more likely.