NSW Newspoll: 56 to 44 in Labor’s favour
Today’s Australian reported that a Newspoll over last weekend had the gap between Labor and the Liberals closing in NSW. The headline prediction was a state-wide two-party preferred vote of 56 per cent for labor and 44 per cent for the Coalition. The primary votes were 42 per cent for Labor and 37 for the Coalition. This result is an improvement for the Coalition on the poll conducted over the first two months of 2007. That poll predicted 59 to 41 per cent split in Labor’s favour.
I suspect the preference flows to the Coalition (at 33 per cent) are a little low, and a more accurate TPP prediction would be 55 to 45 per cent. But it is a moot point, as neither 56/44 nor 55/45 would see a significant change to the make-up of the NSW Legislative Assembly.