Oz Politics Blog

Centrebet has opened a book on the marginal seats in the NSW Election. It gives an insight to how the punters think some key seats will go.

Balmain

Labor is the favourite over the Greens, with the odds giving a winning probability of 56 per cent to 37 per cent

Dubbo

Is neck and neck, with the independent (Fardell on 49 per cent) slightly ahead of the Nationals (48 per cent). Updated 8/3: 57 to 41 per cent in favour of the independent

Manly

Close - the independent (Barr on 50 per cent) is the favourite over the Liberals (44 per cent). Updated 8/3: 50 to 45 per cent

Monaro

Close - Labor (51 per cent) is the favourite over the Nationals (47 per cent). Updated 8/3: 61 to 37 per cent

Murray-Darling

Close - Labor (53 per cent) is the favourite over the Nationals (45 per cent)

Penrith

Labor (64 per cent) is the favourite over the Liberals (35 per cent)

Pittwater

The Liberal candidate (55 per cent) is the favourite over the independent (McTaggart - 34 per cent)

Port Stephens

Labor (57 per cent) is the favourite over the Liberals (40 per cent). Updated 8/3: 59 to 37 per cent

Tamworth

Close - the National candidate (46 per cent) is the favourite over the independent (Draper - 44 per cent).

Terrigal

The Liberal (58 per cent) is the favourite over Labor (38 per cent)

Tweed

Close - Labor (50 per cent) is the favourite over the Nationals (45 per cent)

Wollondilly

Close - Labor (47 per cent) is the favourite over the Liberals (46 per cent). Updated 8/3: 52 to 41 per cent

If you do not want to outlay money, you can enter my (free) tipping competition on the NSW Marginal seats.

Overall, Labor is the clear favourite to win the poll.