Oz Politics Blog

Today’s Courier Mail contained a Galaxy poll of 800 Queenslanders on the next Federal election. The headline result was a predicted state-wide two party preferred vote that was statistically identical to the Coalition’s crushing win in 2004: 55 per cent for the Coalition and 45 per cent for Labor.

Interestingly, there were some movements in the predicted primary votes. The Greens increased from 3.5 per cent in 2004 to 10 per cent. Labor declined 2.7 points to 32 per cent. The Coalition improved 1.4 points to 47 per cent. Family First scored six per cent.

Thinking now about federal politics. If a federal election was held today, with John Howard and Kim Beazley as the two leaders of the major parties, which one of the following would you vote for?

	Election Oct 2004	15/16 Nov 2006
	%	%
ALP	34.7	32
The Liberal Party	36.5	41
The Nationals	9.1	6
Total Coalition	45.6	47
The Greens	3.5	10
Family First	-	6
Another party or an independent candidate	16.2	5

5% uncommitted or refused excluded

Two party preferred:

	Election Oct 2004	15/16 Nov 2006
	%	%
ALP	45.1	45
Coalition	54.9	55

 This survey was conducted by Galaxy Research on the evenings of November 15-16, 2006. Results are based on the opinions of 800 voters. The data has been weighted and projected to reflect the population of Queensland.