Mackerras Pendulum updated
In yesterday’s Australian, Malcolm Mackerras updated his electoral pendulum for the 2007 Federal election, following the recent boundary changes in Queensland and New South Wales. The boundary changes saw one seat move from New South Wales to Queensland.
According to Mackerras, the boundary changes have weakened the electoral position of the Howard Government by 1.1 per cent. Prior to the boundary changes, Labor needed a uniform swing of 4.4 per cent to win government. Now it only needs a 3.3 per cent uniform swing.