August polls: fifth month of a consistent Labor lead
Just as the medium-term moving-averages from the individual pollsters are pretty much a flat line one or two points into Labor territory, so are the combined monthly polls.
(Note: this analysis is generous to the Coalition. For ACNielsen, I recalculate the TPP score using the preference flows at the last election. If I had not done this, and if I had used Morgan’s TPP score based on respondent preferences, the overall result would have been far more negative for the Coalition. Nonetheless, I think this is a fairer assessment of the current state of play).
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