Weekly betting market update

Bryan · Monday 1 May 2006 · 8:39 pm

There is little movement to report; and what movement there was, favoured the Coalition. The average of the four bookmakers suggests a 57.4 per cent probability of a Coalition government following the 2007 Federal election. It was 57.2 per cent last Monday.

  • For a Coalition win Centrebet would pay $1.60 and for a Labor win it would pay $2.20. The implied probability of a Coalition win at the next election is 57.9 per cent
  • For a Coalition win IASBet would pay $1.67 and for a Labor win it would pay $2.15. It was $1.70 and $2.10 last Monday. The implied probability of a Coalition win at the next election is 56.3 per cent
  • SportingBet is paying $1.62 for a Coalition win and $2.20 for a Labor win. The implied probability of a Coalition win at the next election is 57.6 per cent
  • SportsBet is paying $1.60 for a Coalition win and $2.20 for a Labor win. The implied probability of a Coalition win at the next election is 57.9 per cent

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