Weekly betting market update

Bryan · Monday 17 April 2006 · 5:27 am

There is little movement to report; and what movement there was, favoured the Coalition. This suggests the AWB scandal and the implementation of the ‘WorkChoices’ industrial relations laws are having little impact on the electoral chances of John Howard come 2007.

The average of the four bookmakers suggests a 57.2 per cent probability of a Coalition government following the 2007 Federal election. It was 56.9 per cent last Monday.

  • For a Coalition win Centrebet would pay $1.60 and for a Labor win it would pay $2.20. The implied probability of a Coalition win at the next election is 57.9 per cent
  • For a Coalition win IASBet would pay $1.70 and for a Labor win it would pay $2.10. The implied probability of a Coalition win at the next election is 55.3 per cent
  • SportingBet is paying $1.62 for a Coalition win and $2.20 for a Labor win. It was $1.65 and $2.15 last Monday. The implied probability of a Coalition win at the next election is 57.6 per cent
  • SportsBet is paying $1.60 for a Coalition win and $2.20 for a Labor win. The implied probability of a Coalition win at the next election is 57.9 per cent

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Betting market ·