Labor well ahead
Once a month we get two polls released on the same Tuesday. Today they are both singing from the same hymnal: Labor is well ahead in two party preferred terms.
- Newspoll: 54 to 46 per cent in Labor’s favour (last poll: 51/49)
- ACNielsen: 58 to 42 per cent in Labor’s favour (last poll 52/48)
For the primary votes …
- Labor — N: 42 per cent; ACN: 43 per cent
- Coalition — N: 39 per cent; ACN: 37 per cent
The pundits are also unanimous in their assessment: industrial relations reform is a problem for the Coalition.
Update: The usual graphs are here. You may need to hit the refresh or reload button on your browser to see the latest graphs.
It is worth noting that if the ACNielsen two-party preferred results were calculated on the same splits as occurred at the last election (rather than according to how people say they would vote), the headline result would have been 45 to 55 in Labor’s favour. At this point in the election cycle, Newspoll calculates its TTP prediction using the splits from the last election.
Also of note are the significantly different results from Newspoll’s better prime minister question and ACNielsen’s preferred prime minister question. Is this a case of (almost) preferring second best?
Finally, my apologies, I had accidently swapped the Newspoll and ACNielsen results in yesterday’s post. Now fixed.