Morgan: 50.5 to 49.5 in Labor’s favour
The headline result for the latest Morgan poll of 1789 electors over the weekends of 18-19 and 25-26 June is a predicted nation-wide two-party preferred vote of 50.5 per cent in Labor’s favour. This is an improvement for Labor of 0.5 per cent since the last Morgan poll, but it is not statistically significant.
Morgan’s conclusion: “Had an election been held in late June, the election would be too close to call”.
Primary vote support for the Coalition fell 1.5 percentage points, to 42 per cent. Labor’s primary vote was unchanged on 39.5 per cent. Support for the Greens was 9 per cent (up 1.5), Australian Democrats 2 per cent (up 0.5), Family First 2.5 per cent (up 0.5), One Nation 1 per cent (down 0.5) and other parties and independents 4 per cent (down 0.5).
The usual opinion polling graphs are here. When you get there you may need to hit the refresh/reload button on your browser to see the latest graphs.
From the aggregated poll chart (below), between May and June the primary vote for the major parties softened, to the gain of the minor parties. In two party preferred terms, the Coalition is marginally ahead of Labor on 50.3 per cent, essentially unchanged from May (50.4 per cent).
