NT election round-up
What an interesting cauldron of issues: nuclear waste, drunken itinerants, electricity costs, waterslides and a BMX track, and more drunken itinerants. See Ken Parish for a local perspective on the election, or the poll bludger for an outsider’s view.
A bit of a jump in the betting market over the last 24 hours has seen the County Liberal’s odds drift to $3.70. It looks like the punters now give the CLP just a 25 per cent chance of winning. The following graphs show the current state of play.
Updated daily: you may need to hit the refresh button on your browser to get the latest graphs. Note: The betting market results for 14 June were taken in the evening, rather than in the morning (my practice for the other days).
Its time for a prediction: I think Labor will win between 15 and 17 of the 25 seats — an improvement on its current 13.
Update: News from Centrebet:
ELECTIONS
by Gerard Daffy June 9, 2005The Northern Territory election is in full swing and with two weeks to go, Labor have cleared out as hot favourites. It has been on the back of heavy betting from other parts of Australia not the NT.
To date, close to $70,000 has been wagered on the NT election but over half has come from the Eastern seaboard. The largest bet so far, $20,000 came for Labor from a Queensland client which saw the 1.28 disappear. We had previously taken four separate bets of $5000 for Labor, and all of those had come from New South Wales. The interesting thing from a local point of view is that of the money wagered from within the Northern Territory, most of that, including bets of $4000 and $2000, has been for the CLP.